Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJan 2027 8.2%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète28 mai 26, 00:34 UTC2 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will JD Vance announce as his VP?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWhen will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance and Usha Vance announce a divorce by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date on which JD Vance ceases to be the Vice President of the United States.
- Sworn in as President: If JD Vance becomes the President of the United States (e.g., due to the death, resignation, or removal of the President), he ceases to be Vice President.
- In this scenario, the market will resolve to the date he is sworn in as President.
- Resignation, Removal, or Death: If JD Vance resigns, is removed from office, is declared permanently disabled under the 25th Amendment, or passes away, the market will resolve to the date that the vacancy officially begins.
- Time Zone: Resolution will use the official calendar date in Eastern Time (ET) when the vacancy or transition takes effect.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — JD Vance out as VP by...? · December 31 6%
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour JD Vance out as VP before? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Jan 2027 à 8% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand JD Vance out as VP before? sera-t-il résolu ?
- JD Vance out as VP before? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment JD Vance out as VP before? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria
- Où JD Vance out as VP before? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.