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Données au 25 oct. 2026, 11:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleJan 2027 7%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète28 mai 26, 00:34 UTC2 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will JD Vance announce as his VP?
Manifold MarketsWill samo burja advise the new JD Vance administration, either with him as VP or president?
Manifold MarketsWhat will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?
KalshiWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWhat party will win the special election to fill JD Vance's Senate seat?
Manifold MarketsHow many tie-breaking Senate votes will JD Vance cast in 2026?
PredictItRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date on which JD Vance ceases to be the Vice President of the United States.
- Sworn in as President: If JD Vance becomes the President of the United States (e.g., due to the death, resignation, or removal of the President), he ceases to be Vice President.
- In this scenario, the market will resolve to the date he is sworn in as President.
- Resignation, Removal, or Death: If JD Vance resigns, is removed from office, is declared permanently disabled under the 25th Amendment, or passes away, the market will resolve to the date that the vacancy officially begins.
- Time Zone: Resolution will use the official calendar date in Eastern Time (ET) when the vacancy or transition takes effect.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — JD Vance out as VP by...? · December 31 5%