Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
PolitiquePolitique américaineÉlection1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 16:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
JD Vance (Vice President) 24.8%En tête parmi 26 options
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222
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète13 août 24, 19:26 UTC26 août 28, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
Resolves 50% each to the two people who are the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties in 2028, at the end of whichever national convention happens second.
- Any change in the nominees after the conclusion of the second convention will not effect the resolution of this market.
- Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other".
- Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.
- @/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-757313dd0344
