Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
PolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
JD Vance (Vice President) 23.5%En tête parmi 26 options
Prévisionnistes
219
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+2.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète13 août 24, 19:26 UTC26 août 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolves 50% each to the two people who are the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties in 2028, at the end of whichever national convention happens second.
- Any change in the nominees after the conclusion of the second convention will not effect the resolution of this market.
- Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other".
- Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.
- @/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-757313dd0344
