Prévision communautaire actuelle
Other 40.6%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 41 minutes
2 mars 24, 17:54 UTC1 janv. 28, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be paramount leader of Iran on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2027?
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PolymarketRègles
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the next person to become the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China, after the named outcome ceases to be the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China.
- If the named outcome holds the title of paramount leader of the People's Republic of China for at least 365 days after the named outcome ceases to be the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China, this market shall resolve to "the named outcome".
- If the named outcome ceases to be the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China and does not regain the title of paramount leader of the People's Republic of China for at least 24 hours, this market shall resolve to "the named outcome" if he is the next person to become the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China within 365 days of the date the named outcome ceased to be the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China.
- All prior references to "People's Republic of China" in this description refer to the current state officially known as the People's Republic of China, as well as to any future name the state may have, and to the successor state of the People's Republic of China if the current People's Republic of China ceases to exist.
- This market currently closes at 8:00 UTC on 1 January 2028.
- This may change to a later date if needed.
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 38,7 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- 356,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the next paramount leader of China? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Other à 41% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the next paramount leader of China? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the next paramount leader of China? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Who will be the next paramount leader of China? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the next person to become the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China, after the named outcome ceases to be the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China.