Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)
0.5 pts (24h)PolitiqueÉlectionPolitique américaine2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 60.8%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+2.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
2 sept. 25, 22:37 UTC5 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
Manifold MarketsWill Ron DeSantis be elected President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRègles
Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- These seem to be the major other markets for this question:
- @/Tetraspace/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20
- @/goldenes56/who-will-be-elected-president-in-th-6ecda2cc8128@/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
- @/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a
- If any option (including other) is trading in the top 3, or >20%, in either of those markets for at least 48 hours, I'll add it to this one (please feel encouraged to point out if this is happening!).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 81%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 27%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Également disponible sur Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
