Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 57.2%+0.3ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard2 sept. 25, 22:375 nov. 28, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- These seem to be the major other markets for this question:
- @/Tetraspace/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20
- @/goldenes56/who-will-be-elected-president-in-th-6ecda2cc8128@/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
- @/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a
- If any option (including other) is trading in the top 3, or >20%, in either of those markets for at least 48 hours, I'll add it to this one (please feel encouraged to point out if this is happening!).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election? · JD Vance 19%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 22%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 23%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Également disponible sur Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 · Gavin Newsom 28%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? · JD Vance 22%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? · J.D. Vance 19%
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 165,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2 M €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 9,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 947,7 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Volume total
- 21,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 468,3 k €
- Next French Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Other à 57% au 25 août 2026.
- Quand Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) doit être résolu le 5 novembre 2028.
- Comment Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- Où Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur, PredictIt, Kalshi.