Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 12 juil. 2026, 04:38 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelle
SpaceX 15.1%-1.7%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 jours
Obsolète8 juil. 26, 21:0731 mai 29, 22:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
SpaceX15%
Tendance du volume
$2508 juil.5j de données12 juil.
Marchés Associés
What will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029
42,2 €It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation: 60.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
40,6 €Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 95.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,2 k €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4,1 k €SpaceX: 86%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0 €SpaceX: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
AI data center in space by ?
0 €December 31, 2027: 15%FUTUUR
FUTUURActifs dans ces sujets
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Resolves SpaceX if SpaceX is first to issue a termination notice or publicly confirm ending the Colossus compute agreement.
- Resolves Anthropic if Anthropic is first to do so.
- Resolves Both/Neither/Unclear if termination is mutual or simultaneous, the deal runs to its contractual end (reported as May 2029) or is renewed/replaced without cancellation, or the initiating party can't be determined.
- Renegotiation, downsizing, partial capacity reallocation, or transfer to a successor agreement does not count as cancellation, the agreement must actually end.