Prévision communautaire actuelle
Both/Neither/Unclear 68.9%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète8 juil. 26, 21:07 UTC31 mai 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX announce any sort of deal with Russia or China before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketAI data center in space by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves SpaceX if SpaceX is first to issue a termination notice or publicly confirm ending the Colossus compute agreement.
- Resolves Anthropic if Anthropic is first to do so.
- Resolves Both/Neither/Unclear if termination is mutual or simultaneous, the deal runs to its contractual end (reported as May 2029) or is renewed/replaced without cancellation, or the initiating party can't be determined.
- Renegotiation, downsizing, partial capacity reallocation, or transfer to a successor agreement does not count as cancellation, the agreement must actually end.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Both/Neither/Unclear à 69% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first? doit être résolu le 31 mai 2029.
- Comment Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves SpaceX if SpaceX is first to issue a termination notice or publicly confirm ending the Colossus compute agreement.