Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleManifest (June, Berkeley) 100%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète1 mai 26, 11:17 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What price will (Nate) Silver hit in 2026? (read desc.!)
Manifold MarketsOpenAI offers customizable plans by EOY? [READ DESC]
Manifold MarketsHow will I rate The Altruists, the upcoming Netflix series about FTX, out of 100? [READ DESC]
Manifold MarketsWhen will Manifold shut down?(READ DESC)
Manifold MarketsDuolingo language rankings · Top 10 in 2026?
KalshiWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
KalshiRègles
Each option resolves 50% if I attend or YES if I speak.
- Context dump:
- I am Eli Goldfine/@realTomBayes on X
- I already have Manifest tickets
- I am based in NYC
- Predict2026 has offered to cover my travel expenses if I agree to moderate a panel, others are in the works
