Which of these will Chancellor John Healey say in his Budget speech on 28 October 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffMoyen-OrientRussie / UkraineEuropePolitique américaineIA4j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAI 66.2%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+16.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète21 oct. 26, 00:28 UTC28 oct. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Each answer resolves independently: YES if Chancellor John Healey says it in his Autumn Budget speech to the House of Commons on 28 October 2026, NO if he doesn't.
- How it's judged:
- Source: the speech text HM Treasury publishes on gov.uk (gov.uk/government/speeches) on Budget day.
- If the delivered speech differs from the published text (the "check against delivery" caveat), the delivered words win, checked against the Parliament TV / Hansard record of the speech.
- Only the Chancellor's own speech counts: not the Budget documents, not the OBR, not the opposition reply, not interventions or heckles.
- Case doesn't matter.
