Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAt least 4 GOP Senators explicitly come out against Trump on Greenland. 85.2%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète19 janv. 26, 23:49 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
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KalshiRègles
Les critères de résolution ne sont pas encore disponibles pour ce marché. Cette section sera remplie lors des prochains rafraîchissements une fois les règles de la source enregistrées.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase52.9%
- No change+1.0pt45.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 881,3 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+3.0pt60.4%
- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt8.9%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-5.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+6.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- 28,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 539 k €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+0.7pt100%
- October 31+0.8pt100%
- September 24+0.2pt100%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.1pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.6pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 30,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 486,5 k €
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which of these things will happen in 2026 in the US/Greenland saga? ?
- Manifold Markets cote At least 4 GOP Senators explicitly come out against Trump on Greenland. à 85.2% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which of these things will happen in 2026 in the US/Greenland saga? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which of these things will happen in 2026 in the US/Greenland saga? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.