Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Tesla 64.7%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+10.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète1 déc. 23, 00:09 UTC1 janv. 36, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos personally travel to the Moon aboard a vehicle from one of their own companies before 2036?
Manifold MarketsWill I be offered a quant role before 2030? [read desc]
Manifold Markets5. Depreciation schedules become critically important, as debt plays growing role in the AI buildout [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Elon doesn’t need to willingly step down for this to resolve, he merely needs to longer be CEO; he could have quit, died, been pushed out…etc.
