Which 2026 US House race will have the smallest margin of victory?
23.2 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionPlateformes d'échange2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 75%+23.2ptEn tête parmi 15 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+23.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète6 oct. 26, 23:12 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Kevin Kiley win the Us House race in California 6th in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the U.S. House Race in California's 40th District?
Manifold MarketsClosest House race in 2026?
Kalshi2026 House Race: Minnesota District 5
Robinhood (Rothera)2026 House Race: Texas District 23
Robinhood (Rothera)2026 House Race: Pennsylvania District 10
Robinhood (Rothera)Règles
Resolves yes to the 2026 US House election with the smallest margin of victory, by raw vote total.
- If the smallest margin in a house race is 500 votes, than the race it is in resolves yes.
- More races may be added if they are considered very close.
- If a market not listed has the smallest vote margin, then other will resolve.
- For ranked choice elections, use the deciding round margin of victory.
- For elections that go to runoff, use margin in the general election on November 3.
