Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleThere is no other Manifest X by the end of 2026 54.6%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète23 sept. 25, 01:12 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be an official Manifest or Manifest x in NYC by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill gwern attend Manifest 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill we be able to sell the manifest dragon shirt designed by @etirabys in the manifold merch store?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiBozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
KalshiRègles
Manifest X is coming to DC on November 8th.
- Tickets available at: https://manifestxdc.github.io/
- But who will go next?
- Question will resolve to which city or region hosts the next Manifest X event by the end of 2026.
- If there are none, "the named outcome" will resolve yes.
- Pedantic quibbles:
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,8 k €
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- 18,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 989,4 €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 15,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 952,4 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Volume total
- 136,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 247 €
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC? ?
- Manifold Markets cote There is no other Manifest X by the end of 2026 à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Manifest X is coming to DC on November 8th.