When will there be a 90+ minute AI-generated video that humans will pay to see?
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Données au 26 oct. 2026, 02:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
During 2026 (2026-01-01T00:00Z <= time < 2027-01-01T00:00Z) 72.3%En tête parmi 5 options
During 2026 (2026-01-01T00:00Z <= time < 2027-01-01T00:00Z) 72.3%Prévisionnistes
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Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard12 déc. 22, 18:24 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Another way of putting it: "When will the first completely AI-made feature-length movie be released?"
- This question resolves when there is an experience that includes motion video that is:
- That has the script (if any) written by an AI
- An AI produces all images and sound without cameras, microphones, or actors
- The images, script, and sound are all of a quality similar to or better than a 2022 Hollywood movie with a budget of more than $100,000,000.
- (If there is a dispute, this can be resolved by a majority of humans on a 100-human random survey saying the experience has that quality.)
