Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2029 37.7%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète26 juin 23, 19:13 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Elder Scrolls VI be released?
KalshiElder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
PolymarketWill The Elder Scrolls 6 release before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the “All Reviews” rating for The Elder Scrolls VI on Steam, 6 months after the release date?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
What year will TES6 release? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Elder_Scrolls
- It's release date is supposedly far away and unknown.
- When the game releases, that year will resolve YES and all others will resolve NO.
- At the end of each year without release the appropriate answer will resolve NO.
- At the end of 2029, if there is still no release the final answer of the named outcome will resolve YES.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will The Elder Scrolls 6 (TES6) release? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2029 à 38% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will The Elder Scrolls 6 (TES6) release? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will The Elder Scrolls 6 (TES6) release? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment When will The Elder Scrolls 6 (TES6) release? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : What year will TES6 release? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Elder_Scrolls