When will Michelle O’Neill be replaced as First Minister of Northern Ireland?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
2026 16.8%En tête parmi 11 options
2026 16.8%Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète3 févr. 24, 13:33 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
After Sinn Fein became the largest party in the Northern Ireland assembly in the 2022 elections, and after the DUP spent two years agreed to reconvene the Assembly after blocking it for two years under the power sharing agreement, Michelle O’Neill has today become the First Minister of Northern Ireland.
- Her appointment is significant since she becomes the first Irish nationalist in the role - all of her predecessors were Unionists:
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Minister_and_deputy_First_Minister_of_Northern_Ireland
- When will she be replaced as First Minister?
- Market notes:
- If the Northern Ireland Assembly is dissolved again, this market will resolve to the date when someone who isn’t Michelle O’Neill takes over as First Minister rather than the date when she stops doing the job.
