When will I be able to purchase a self-driving Toyota (or Lexus) in the USA?
RégulationOne-OffTech14aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 19 oct. 2026, 16:05 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle2031-2032 15.6%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète2 juin 26, 14:40 UTC1 janv. 41, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Self-driving means SAE Level 3 at minimum.
- The car must be available in Massachusetts (where I live) and must have self-driving capabilities in Massachusetts.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date on which a personally owned vehicle (POV) manufactured by Toyota Motor Corporation under either the Toyota or Lexus brand, equipped with an SAE Level 3 (or higher) autonomous driving system, is first officially available for retail purchase or lease by individual consumers in the United States.
- To resolve the market, the following conditions must be met:
- SAE Level 3 definition: In accordance with SAE J3016 standards, Level 3 ("Conditional Driving Automation") means the vehicle can fully drive itself under specific conditions, allowing the driver to divert their attention (eyes-off, hands-off) to non-driving activities while the system is active, provided they remain ready to intervene when prompted.
