When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Politique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNever announces a 2028 presidential run. 65%En tête parmi 11 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète24 déc. 25, 11:57 UTC31 déc. 28, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be elected U.S. president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (aka AOC) be charged with a federal crime by February 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- For each answer, resolve YES if AOC makes an official public announcement that she is running for U.S. president in the 2028 election on or before that answer’s cutoff; resolve NO otherwise. “before [date]” is treated as on or before 11:59:59 pm Eastern Time on that date.
- e.g. if the announcement occurs on Dec 15, 2027, the "the named outcome" AND "the named outcome" options resolve YES.
- Acceptable evidence (use the earliest timestamp across sources):
- FEC Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) filed for a 2028 presidential run.
- An explicit statement by AOC or an authorized spokesperson that she is running for president in 2028 (e.g., on his verified social accounts or official site).
Marchés ouverts
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
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- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Never announces a 2028 presidential run. à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria