When will a study be conducted on the effects of DMT on cluster headaches, and if a study is done what will it find?
RégulationOne-OffTechSanté et médecineManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleStudy that investigates short-term effects of DMT as a treatment has positive findings 84.8%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète23 oct. 25, 11:41 UTC1 janv. 51, 12:36 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Context / inspiration: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/x8P8EGnujSZm6fyMH/emerging-evidence-on-treating-cluster-headaches-with-dmt Notably: "Currently, there exist no published studies on the efficacy of DMT to treat cluster headaches.
- The bulk of the evidence comes from testimonials of patients and advocates, which we argue is highly credible and should be weighted heavily"
- Study must be peer-reviewed and have a sample size of at least 100.
- Questions on timeline of a study being done are thresholds, i.e. a study being published in 2032 resolves (1) NO, (2) and (3) YES.
- Questions on effects resolve to the results of the first study conducted that investigate that thing.
- I.e. if a study investigates short-term effects but not long-term ones, only the short-term question resolves, and the long-term one resolves when a study investigates long-term effects.
