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What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [UNLINKED]
Society & Culture
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Prediction markets are good 91.4%En tête parmi 75 options
Prévisionnistes
71
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
ObsolèteTendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Manifold MarketsAt the beginning of 2030, what percentage of Manifold users will have a strongly negative opinion of Scott Alexander?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill I remain in Montreal past September?
Manifold MarketsWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
KalshiRègles
This is inspired by @firstuserhere's market @/firstuserhere/what-do-you-believe-that-few-other
- Less than a day after it was created, the new option for unlinked free response questions was created.
- Since that market is meant to gauge what people think on a bunch of independent questions, the unlinked format would have worked better for it, so I decided to make one myself (with permission).
- The only difference between this market and the original is the market type and what options are on it.
- Like with his, this never resolves, it is just a way to see what Manifold thinks of each belief.
- Submit any belief that you think is controversial or non-mainstream, especially one that is novel or interesting.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt47.6%
- 65-89+5.0pt28.6%
- <40-3.0pt15.2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 11,8 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-67.0pt1%
- Volume total
- 10,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,4 k €
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Volume total
- 8,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76%
- Yes+2.0pt24%
- Volume total
- 14,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 608,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- 515,7 €
- Volume 24h
- 515,7 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- 515,7 €
- Volume 24h
- 515,7 €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- Is Earth flat?
- Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [UNLINKED] ?
- Manifold Markets cote Prediction markets are good à 91% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Comment What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [UNLINKED] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This is inspired by @firstuserhere's market @/firstuserhere/what-do-you-believe-that-few-other