What will really exactly happen in the 2026 midterms election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 202620j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 15 oct. 2026, 10:21 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleDemocrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives 89%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+5.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète7 oct. 26, 21:05 UTC4 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each answer resolves independently to YES, NO, or N/A based on the outcomes of the United States midterm elections on November 3, 2026.
- Resolutions will be determined using official state election certifications and consensus projections from major news networks, primarily the Associated Press (AP).
- Specific Rules for Current Options:
- "the named outcome" / "the named outcome": Resolves to YES for whichever party wins at least 218 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives for the 110th United States Congress.
