What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?
BitcoinOne-OffEthereumDogecoinOpérations sur titresPlateformes d'échangeMemecoinMatières premièresTechIA13a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
US Dollar (USD)* 65.1%En tête parmi 16 options
US Dollar (USD)* 65.1%Prévisionnistes
85
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète4 nov. 24, 16:21 UTC1 janv. 40, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
*Includes descendants/forks
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will be resolved based on the state of the global human economy on January 1st, 2040.
- The dominant unit will be determined by the total value of economic transactions denominated in the unit during the calendar year 2039, as measured by the most widely accepted economic metrics available in 2040.
- This includes all forms of trade, exchange, and value transfer involving at least one human party.
- If the dominant unit is pegged to another listed option (e.g., if a currency is backed by or formally pegged to gold, computation, energy, etc.), both the primary unit and its peg resolve as 'Yes.'