KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above $99,999.99 25%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
80 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
5,8 k €
Liquidité
1,1 M €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
2 janv. 26, 23:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $99999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
- The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
- If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
- If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $109999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 · 75,000 to 79,999.99 11%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Bitcoin price in 2026? · $80K 100%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? · ↓ 60,000 100%