Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
US President (I / 3rd Party) 35%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète22 nov. 25, 21:24 UTC1 janv. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene ever be president of a new confederacy?
Manifold MarketsWill Marjorie Taylor Greene have a heart attack before the end of May 12th 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile with Donald Trump before her November 3, 2026 reelection?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves to the FIRST public office for which Marjorie Taylor Greene formally files a Statement of Candidacy by Jan 1, 2028.
- the named outcome (2026): Resolves YES if she files for the open seat vacated by Brian Kemp.
- Georgia filing deadline is March 6, 2026.
- the named outcome (2026): Resolves YES if she files to challenge Jon Ossoff.
- US President (Republican): Resolves YES if she files FEC Form 2 for President as a Republican.
- US President (Ind/3rd Party): Resolves YES if she files FEC Form 2 for President as an Independent, Libertarian, or other 3rd party.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be Marjorie Taylor Greene's next declared political run? ?
- Manifold Markets cote US President (I / 3rd Party) à 35% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will be Marjorie Taylor Greene's next declared political run? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will be Marjorie Taylor Greene's next declared political run? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment What will be Marjorie Taylor Greene's next declared political run? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to the FIRST public office for which Marjorie Taylor Greene formally files a Statement of Candidacy by Jan 1, 2028.