What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Baiji (Lipotes Vexillifer) in Its Next Red List Assessment?
ChinaOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct) 60.7%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+54.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète11 déc. 24, 16:3731 août 27, 21:59
Tendances
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
Règles
The Baiji, a species of freshwater dolphin native to the Yantze River system in China, is currently listed as the named outcome (possibly extinct) on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species.
- It was last assessed in August 2017.
- This market will resolve based on the conservation status assigned to the Baiji by the IUCN in its next Red List assessment.
- The target resolution date is August 2027 (10 years after the last assessment).
- However, resolution might occur earlier or later, depending on when the next assessment takes place.
- The possible outcomes align with the official IUCN Red List categories: the named outcome, the named outcome, Vulnerable, Endangered, the named outcome, the named outcome, Extinct, the named outcome, the named outcome.
