Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026? [resolves to 2027 poll]
One-OffSociété et culture3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.2%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 48 minutes
En retard11 janv. 26, 19:51 UTC2 févr. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Shortly after market close, I will create a Manifold poll, open for a week, on the question "Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026?" with the answers "Yes", "No", and "Not sure/see results".
- If there are more Yes answers than No answers, this market resolves YES.
- If there are more No answers than Yes answers, this market resolves NO.
- A tie resolves 50/50.
