US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionGéopolitiqueRussie / Ukraine2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.4%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète11 mars 25, 15:37 UTC20 janv. 29, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves YES if the United States government provides any form of military aid to Russia during Donald Trump's second presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029).
- Military aid includes weapons, ammunition, military equipment, training, intelligence sharing specifically for military purposes, or direct financial assistance explicitly for military spending.
- Resolution will be based on official US government announcements, or credible news reports from major outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, NYT, WSJ), or official Russian government acknowledgments of receiving such aid.
- Sources for tracking US foreign military aid:
- US State Department Bureau of Political-Military Affairs
- US Department of Defense News
