Under 55! U.S. Dem. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028.
PolitiqueYearlyUS PoliticsÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 54.7%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète1 juin 26, 12:33 UTC31 août 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Under 55! U.S. Rep. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028.
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee
Robinhood (Rothera)Règles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the officially selected 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States is strictly under the age of 55 (has not yet reached their 55th birthday) on the day they officially secure the nomination.
- This market will resolve to NO if the nominee is 55 years of age or older on the day they officially secure the nomination.
- Definition of "officially securing the nomination": This is defined as the day the nominee officially crosses the delegate threshold required to win the nomination, whether via a roll-call vote at the 2028 Democratic National Convention (scheduled for August 7–10, 2028) or via an official virtual roll call held prior to the convention.
- Source of Truth: The age of the nominee on the roll-call date will be verified using official biographical records or mainstream biographical profiles (such as Britannica or Wikipedia).
- Precondition: If the Democratic Party does not nominate a presidential candidate for the 2028 election, or if the nomination process is canceled, this market will resolve N/A.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Under 55! U.S. Dem. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028. ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Under 55! U.S. Dem. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028. sera-t-il résolu ?
- Under 55! U.S. Dem. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028. doit être résolu le 31 août 2028.
- Comment Under 55! U.S. Dem. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028. est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria