UK Autumn Budget 2026: will NICs be extended to rental, investment or pension income?
One-OffRégulationMacro et économie16jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.8%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
22 sept. 26, 14:32 UTC28 oct. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will employer NICs be cut or the secondary threshold raised?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
YES if the Budget announces a National Insurance charge, or a new levy described as equivalent to one, on property, investment or pension income.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.
- This market closes at 12:00 UTC on Budget day, 30 minutes before the speech is due to begin, because measures resolve as the Chancellor announces them.
- The creator may trade in this market.
