UK Autumn Budget 2026: will employer NICs be cut or the secondary threshold raised?
One-OffRégulationPolitique16jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 84.6%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
22 sept. 26, 14:32 UTC28 oct. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will NICs be extended to rental, investment or pension income?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will income tax rates, employee NICs and VAT rates all stay unchanged?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will the 'mansion tax' threshold be set below £2 million?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will Local Housing Allowance rates be raised for April 2027?
Manifold MarketsMissouri enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketIndiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketRègles
YES if the Budget lowers the 15% employer rate or raises the £5,000 secondary threshold for employers generally.
- Sector-specific reliefs resolve NO.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.
- This market closes at 12:00 UTC on Budget day, 30 minutes before the speech is due to begin, because measures resolve as the Chancellor announces them.