Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAt least 44% 93.2%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+12.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard11 oct. 26, 00:50 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsTroy Jackson runs behind Hannah Pingree by...? (First Round)
PolymarketWill Troy Jackson win his hometown?
Manifold MarketsTroy Jackson wins 2026 US Senate election in Maine?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC endorse or appear at a campaign event for Troy Jackson?
Manifold MarketsWill Troy Jackson win the Maine general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Troy Jackson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places
- For the first round
- Resolves YES for all correct answers if the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Troy Jackson in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election is between the answer to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints.
- Resolves same as Kalshi.
- Resolves YES for all correct answers
