Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 89.1%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète9 sept. 23, 14:30 UTC16 sept. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a UK General Election in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a UK General Election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a UK General Election in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWill Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiRègles
Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Resolution Date: January 2027 (AI summary of creator comment)
Marchés ouverts
ElectionsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom13.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 462,6 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour There will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1] ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand There will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1] sera-t-il résolu ?
- There will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1] doit être résolu le 16 septembre 2027.
- Comment There will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Resolution Date: January 2027 (AI summary of creator comment)