Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67.2%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
28 mai 26, 12:42 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be the name of the combined SpaceX / Tesla company in 2028?
Manifold MarketsTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketWill Project Bromo (the Airbus–Leonardo–Thales space merger) be completed by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk actually ship a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?
Manifold MarketsMPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
PolymarketTrump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) and Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) legally complete a corporate merger, acquisition, or combine into a single corporate structure under a unified parent company on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Completed/Closed Transaction Required: A mere announcement of an agreement is not sufficient; the transaction must be legally completed (closed).
- Unified Parent/Holding Structure: If both companies are folded into a newly created holding company where they operate as subsidiaries under the same corporate umbrella, this will resolve the market to YES.
- Exclusions: Joint ventures (such as the "Terafab" Austin semiconductor facility), commercial supply agreements, or technology sharing partnerships do not qualify as a merger for the purpose of this market.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 82,1 k €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 17,9 k €
POLYMARKETWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 15 k €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No92.1%
- Yes7.9%
- Volume total
- 2,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 13,7 k €
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Israeli Legislative Election Winner
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028 sera-t-il résolu ?
- SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria