Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 69%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète28 mai 26, 12:42 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be the name of the combined SpaceX / Tesla company in 2028?
Manifold MarketsTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketWill Project Bromo (the Airbus–Leonardo–Thales space merger) be completed by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBART/Caltrain merger by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk actually ship a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?
Manifold MarketsMPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) and Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) legally complete a corporate merger, acquisition, or combine into a single corporate structure under a unified parent company on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Completed/Closed Transaction Required: A mere announcement of an agreement is not sufficient; the transaction must be legally completed (closed).
- Unified Parent/Holding Structure: If both companies are folded into a newly created holding company where they operate as subsidiaries under the same corporate umbrella, this will resolve the market to YES.
- Exclusions: Joint ventures (such as the "Terafab" Austin semiconductor facility), commercial supply agreements, or technology sharing partnerships do not qualify as a merger for the purpose of this market.
