Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Prévision communautaire actuelle1 trillion or higher? 100%En tête parmi 23 options
Prévisionnistes
56
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 44 jours
Obsolète16 mai 26, 3:0412 juin 26, 19:30
Chronologie des Probabilités
1 trillion or higher?100%
1.2 trillion or higher?100%
1.4 trillion or higher?100%
1.6 trillion or higher?100%
1.8 trillion or higher?100%
1.9 trillion or higher?100%
2 trillion or higher?100%
2.1 trillion or higher?100%
2.2 trillion or higher?0%
2.3 trillion or higher?0%
2.4 trillion or higher?0%
2.5 trillion or higher?0%
2.7 trillion or higher?0%
3 trillion or higher?0%
3.5 trillion or higher?0%
4 trillion or higher?0%
Larger market cap than Nvidia on the same day?0%
Larger market cap than Tesla on the same day?100%
Larger market cap than Alphabet Inc on the same day?0%
Larger market cap than Amazon on the same day?0%
Larger market cap than Broadcom on the same day?100%
Larger market cap than Meta Platforms (Facebook) on the same day?100%
Larger market cap than 0.5x Nvidias on the same day?0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
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Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· 1 trillion or higher?
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LimitlessMeilleur global83% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 97% | — | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 43 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 100% | — | — | — | il y a 44 jours |
Également disponible sur Limitless
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
Fermés
90.2%
2.3%
2.3%
+4 résultats de plus
10 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total10,9 k €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSRègles
Resolves N/a if no ipo by end of 2028.
- This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
- Google finance will be the source.
- Example: 1.4 trillion or more means 1,400,000,000,000.00 or more
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of July
80 €$1.0T-$1.5T: 62%
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2,4 k €SpaceX: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETCombined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX
44,4 €Under $3T: 1.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029
42,2 €It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation: 60.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0,9 €SpaceX: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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Resolves N/a if no ipo by end of 2028.
- This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
- Google finance will be the source.
- Example: 1.4 trillion or more means 1,400,000,000,000.00 or more