Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle4:40:00 100%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+12.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète15 mars 26, 04:36 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:26 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h34m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h33mXXs)
Manifold MarketsWill the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h35m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h34mXXs)
Manifold MarketsAI vs Humanity: First to Sub 2h All Achievements Minecraft speedrun?
Manifold MarketsWho will be first to perform a perfect Super Mario Bros. 1 speedrun?
Manifold MarketsWho will win DEATH BATTLE: Naruto vs Luffy? (Naruto vs One Piece)
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- The world record time will be determined by the official Speedrun.com leaderboard for Hollow Knight: Silksong, the 100% speedrun category time (in minutes and seconds) as listed on the leaderboard, No Major Glitches.
- This market will consider the Load Removed Time to be the 'true' speedrun time.
- The market resolves YES for each option when a run is shown on that leaderboard with a time LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO.
- (A run of 4:38:50 resolves 4:40 as YES but does not resolve 4:35) At 11:59 PM EST Dec 31, 2026, each remaining entry resolves NO.
- A run that has been submitted but is not shown on the Speedrun.com leaderboard at 11:59 PM EST Dec 31, 2026 will not count.
