Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuellePat Scott @Stralor 33.4%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
64
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète3 août 26, 16:44 UTC30 déc. 27, 16:14 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
My company is hiring.
- We've mostly given up on traditional application pipelines, there's too much AI spam and lying on resumes.
- Robin Hanson says that hiring is the killer app of prediction markets, so let's try it?
- I work for a growth-stage fintech company innovating new ways to prevent fraud.
- We're based in New York, though most of our employees are fully remote.
- Positions are flexible; we're looking to hire people with a technical bent who are generally competent and excited to solve problems.
Marchés ouverts
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 351,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 k €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 résultats de plus
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Should we hire you? [Job-finding market] ?
- Manifold Markets cote Pat Scott @Stralor à 33% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Should we hire you? [Job-finding market] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Should we hire you? [Job-finding market] doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2027.
- Comment Should we hire you? [Job-finding market] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : My company is hiring.