Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète13 nov. 22, 21:22 UTC31 déc. 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a relatively self-sustaining extraterrestial colony before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill we have full self-driving cars before we have self-sustaining fusion?
Manifold MarketsWill the first self-sustaining base on Mars begin being established within 20 years as Elon Musk says?
Manifold MarketsWill Africa lead the global economy by GDP in the year 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExAverage Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey
KalshiRègles
This resolves YES if, at the start of 2050, all humans were to suddenly vanish from the universe, automated factories would continue to produce and distribute items to other factories either forever or until interrupted by a major change in the natural environment (e.g. heat death of the universe, or the sun going red giant, or lumber trees going extinct).
- This market will resolve based on my personal judgement and is quite a ways in the future, so consider that there may be high resolution risk.