Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 93.7%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète7 nov. 25, 12:03 UTC1 janv. 27, 12:03 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?
Manifold MarketsBari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief till
Manifold MarketsWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketAnthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Sarah Friar remains the chief financial officer of OpenAI on January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by official OpenAI announcements, SEC filings, or major news sources confirming her employment status on that date.
- If Friar departs before January 1, 2027 and is replaced, the market resolves NO.
- If she takes a leave of absence but retains the CFO title, the market resolves YES.
- Sarah Friar has been the chief financial officer of OpenAI since June 2024.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 résultats de plus
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria