Ce marché s'est résolu: No change (80.3%)
Résolu: 26 juin 2026, 05:23
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Provenance du règlement
- Résultat en vigueur
- No change
- Enregistré
- 25 juil. 2026, 00:25
- Observations
- 1
- Révisions
- 0
- Méthode
- resolution_watch
Prévision communautaire actuelleNo change 80.3%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 42 jours
Obsolète16 mai 26, 5:4416 juin 26, 4:25
Chronologie des Probabilités
Increase17.3%
No change80.3%
Decrease2.4%
17.3%
80.3%
2.4%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· No change
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global97% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 100% | — | 4,9 k € | 0 € | il y a 41 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 80% | — | — | — | il y a 42 jours |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
0.7 ptsFermés
Résolu
No Change (100%)
+0.9pt100%
-0.1pt0%
-0.7pt0%
26 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquidité
Volume total62,3 k €
Volume 24h4,9 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official interest rate decision announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board following its meeting scheduled for June 15–16, 2026.
- Increase: Resolves YES if the RBA announces an increase to the official cash rate target.
- No change: Resolves YES if the RBA announces that the official cash rate target will be maintained at its current level.
- Decrease: Resolves YES if the RBA announces a decrease to the official cash rate target.
- The official decision is typically released via a media release on the RBA website at 2:30 pm AEST on the final day of the meeting.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed Decision in July?
10 M €No change: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?
94,7 k €Oui: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by which date?
67,7 k €October Meeting: 74%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
87,9 €0 (0 bps): 85.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?
87,9 €Oui: 15.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
82,5 €Above 6.9%: 49%
KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto News
Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices 99.95% odds BTC tops $52K by July 16 after cooler CPIBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official interest rate decision announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board following its meeting scheduled for June 15–16, 2026.
- Increase: Resolves YES if the RBA announces an increase to the official cash rate target.
- No change: Resolves YES if the RBA announces that the official cash rate target will be maintained at its current level.
- Decrease: Resolves YES if the RBA announces a decrease to the official cash rate target.
- The official decision is typically released via a media release on the RBA website at 2:30 pm AEST on the final day of the meeting.