Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Poland: Will Mata (Michał Matczak) become a President of Poland? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 96.9% au 2 novembre 2026.

Poland: Will Mata (Michał Matczak) become a President of Poland?

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Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 96.9%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 heures

Obsolète

1 janv. 24, 15:33 UTC11 janv. 43, 22:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Polish rapper Mata (Michał Matczak) has declared start in Presidential campaign in Poland in 2040.

This will resolve YES if Mata becomes elected the President of Poland in the first elections that he participates in.
This will resolve NO if Mata doesn't become elected the President of Poland in the first elections that he participates in, or if by 2043 there are no presidential elections with Mata on ballots.