Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle≥$1T 88.7%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète21 mai 26, 19:10 UTC1 avr. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027
Manifold MarketsOpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for OpenAI credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-03-31.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-03-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-3.0pt80.2%
- Yes+3.0pt19.8%
- Volume total
- 13 M €
- Volume 24h
- 419,3 k €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt43%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-3.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt31%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Jan 1, 202792%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 16,5 k €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt65%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 202750%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 894,3 k €
KALSHIWho will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Paramount+1.0pt77.1%
- None before July 2027+2.0pt20%
- Netflix2.9%
- Volume total
- 3,7 M €
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Clavicular sentenced to prison?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?
- Ohio State vs Texas
- When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour OpenAI highest valuation by end of March 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote ≥$1T à 89% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand OpenAI highest valuation by end of March 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- OpenAI highest valuation by end of March 2027 doit être résolu le 1 avril 2027.
- Comment OpenAI highest valuation by end of March 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for OpenAI credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-03-31.