OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO?
RégulationIAOne-OffOpérations sur titresEntreprises et affairesTech14a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 29 oct. 2026, 13:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.6%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour hier
Obsolète22 nov. 25, 00:30 UTC31 déc. 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketSpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketRègles
According to reports, OpenAI is now in damage-control mode after having been bested by Google's models on nearly all benchmarks.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if OpenAI either collapses (becomes insolvent or ceases operations) or is acquired by another company before completing an initial public offering.
- Resolution is based on public announcements from OpenAI, acquiring parties, or regulatory filings (SEC filings, bankruptcy court documents).
- The market resolves NO if OpenAI successfully completes an IPO.
- If OpenAI files for IPO but the offering is withdrawn or fails to complete, the market resolves YES.
