OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO?
RégulationIAOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & CorporateTech14aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.6%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète22 nov. 25, 00:30 UTC31 déc. 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketWhich companies will be acquired this year?
KalshiAnthropic acquired before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
According to reports, OpenAI is now in damage-control mode after having been bested by Google's models on nearly all benchmarks.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if OpenAI either collapses (becomes insolvent or ceases operations) or is acquired by another company before completing an initial public offering.
- Resolution is based on public announcements from OpenAI, acquiring parties, or regulatory filings (SEC filings, bankruptcy court documents).
- The market resolves NO if OpenAI successfully completes an IPO.
- If OpenAI files for IPO but the offering is withdrawn or fails to complete, the market resolves YES.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO? sera-t-il résolu ?
- OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2040.
- Comment OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : According to reports, OpenAI is now in damage-control mode after having been bested by Google's models on nearly all benchmarks.