Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026 95.8%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète21 avr. 26, 07:12 UTC30 déc. 30, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump keep the position of the President of the USA for all of 2026?
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurSisi still President of Egypt through the end of 2029?
FutuurMahmoud Abbas still President of the Palestinian Authority through the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
Each answer resolves YES at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer, if Donald Trump is US President AND has been so continuously since his appointment following the 2024 election.
- If he loses his job for any reason (including death/firing/resignation/losing an election) then all remaining answers will resolve NO.
- Add more dates if you want more granularity.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour On what dates will Donald Trump still be President of the USA? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026 à 96% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand On what dates will Donald Trump still be President of the USA? sera-t-il résolu ?
- On what dates will Donald Trump still be President of the USA? doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2030.
- Comment On what dates will Donald Trump still be President of the USA? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Each answer resolves YES at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer, if Donald Trump is US President AND has been so continuously since his appointment following the 2024 election.