Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 65%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
8 déc. 25, 00:53 UTC31 déc. 34, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Amazon become the most valuable company at any point during the 2020s? 🏦📈💰🤑🤖
Manifold MarketsWill mana become less valuable by 2028? (Experimental)
Manifold MarketsWill a privately-held company ever become the most valuable in the world?
Manifold MarketsWill foldable PCs become as common as traditional laptops in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill the BRICS nations officially launch a common digital settlement currency for international trade by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that, before January 1st 2035, old consumer computing hardware experiences a qualitatively new, AI‑driven price boom, such that at least three of the criteria below are clearly satisfied.
- What this market is about
- This market is trying to capture a world where:
- New wafer capacity and manufacturing are heavily tilted toward high‑end AI accelerators and memory,
- Consumer‑grade new PCs and consoles are relatively under‑supplied, and
- Software + cloud integration make even 8–20‑year‑old devices surprisingly useful as AI agents / inference endpoints,
