Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 64.2%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète21 mai 25, 17:10 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Oscar-winning director László Nemes (Son of Saul) is set to adapt Cormac McCarthy’s novel Outer Dark into a feature film.
- The film will star Jacob Elordi (Euphoria, Saltburn) and Lily-Rose Depp (Nosferatu, The Idol) as siblings entangled in a harrowing tale set in Depression-era Appalachia.
- Production is scheduled to begin in 2026, with an anticipated release in mid-2027.
- This market will resolve to YES if, by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2027, a new Outer Dark film:
- Has a confirmed theatrical release in any country, evidenced by listings on reputable platforms such as IMDb, Box Office Mojo, or official press releases.
- Is available for streaming on a major platform accessible in the U.S., including but not limited to Netflix, Amazon Prime Video, Hulu, Max, Apple TV+, or Disney+.
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Oscar-winning director László Nemes (Son of Saul) is set to adapt Cormac McCarthy’s novel Outer Dark into a feature film.