Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 67.4%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète10 sept. 25, 04:02 UTC31 déc. 39, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, by 23:59 Nepal Time (UTC+5:45) on December 31, 2039, Nepal has officially restored a monarchy with a king or queen as head of state, evidenced by either:
- A constitutional amendment or formal proclamation published in the Nepal Gazette (Nepal Rajpatra), or
- The official text of the Constitution updated to designate a monarch as head of state (e.g., on WIPO Lex or an official government publication).
- Non‑binding proposals, party statements, protests, or unofficial “oaths” do not count.
- If sources conflict, prioritize the Nepal Gazette or an updated official constitution text.
