Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.9%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète28 janv. 26, 22:37 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Context from The Hollywood Reporter:
- Brandon Sanderson’s Literary Fantasy Universe ‘Cosmere’ Picked Up by Apple TV (Exclusive)
- It's an unprecedented deal for the author, whose 'Mistborn' series and 'The Stormlight Archive' are being eyed for film and television adaptation, respectively.
- Resolution: Resolves YES if according to a consensus of credible reporting, filming has begun on a planned TV show OR movie based on EITHER "Mistborn" or "The Stormlight Archive", before EOY 2028.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Current reporting indicates that Mistborn is likely intended for film and SA is intended for TV.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Mistborn/Stormlight Archive TV show/movie begins filming by EOY 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 63% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Mistborn/Stormlight Archive TV show/movie begins filming by EOY 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Mistborn/Stormlight Archive TV show/movie begins filming by EOY 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Mistborn/Stormlight Archive TV show/movie begins filming by EOY 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Context from The Hollywood Reporter: