Marco Rubio becomes president of Cuba before 2029
PolitiqueOne-OffÉchecsPolitique américaineSportAmérique latine2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 09:18 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 99.4%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète1 févr. 26, 17:59 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Marco Rubio becomes president of Cuba before 2029.
- Resolution will be determined by official Cuban government sources and international news reporting confirming Rubio's assumption of the presidency.
- The market resolves NO if this does not occur by a specified date, or if it becomes clear the event will not happen.
- In January 2026, President Trump responded to a social media post suggesting Secretary of State Marco Rubio could become president of Cuba, writing that it "sounds good to me!" Rubio, the son of Cuban emigrants born in Miami and the current Secretary of State of the United States, is one of the most hostile figures toward the regime in Havana and has systematically linked the fate of Cuba with that of Venezuela.
- In his 2012 memoir, Rubio recalled: "I boasted I would someday lead an army of exiles to overthrow Fidel Castro and become president of a free Cuba."
