Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 75%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète11 oct. 25, 10:46 UTC14 août 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes
KalshiWill the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?
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ForecastExNext French Presidential Election
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PolymarketRègles
[image](https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/)
- Current polling in the UK has many parties above 10% and around the same size, which could make a general election with their current FPTP system unpredictable.
- Among potential winners are the Reform party.
- Meanwhile, the Labour Party, which currently has a large majority, are polling quite badly, and would likely lose government if trends continue.
- They have traditionally been opposed to electoral reform, but with the above facts there has been increasing calls for Keir Starmer to reform the electoral system.
- Resolves yes if, before the next general election, significant changes are made to the electoral system such as implementing AV or PR.