Will Poland implement a new electoral system for the Sejm before 2030?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionRégulation3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète27 janv. 23, 13:08 UTC31 déc. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This prediction market resolves positively if the Polish government passes a new electoral law for the Sejm that changes the current system in a significant and meaningful way, as determined by experts and political analysts, and the law is signed and implemented before January 1st, 2030.
- This includes, but is not limited to, introducing a new voting method or changing the way seats are allocated.
- Changes that do not alter the fundamental nature of the current system, such as increasing the number of polling stations in rural areas, do not count towards resolution.
- If no such law is passed and implemented, the prediction market will resolve negatively.
