Kim Jong Un or descendant isn't supreme leader in North Korea anytime through 2028
One-OffPolitiqueGéopolitique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 84%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète7 sept. 23, 20:01 UTC2 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketKim Jong-Un still Supreme Leader of North Korea through the end of 2026?
FutuurWhat year will Kim Jong-Un cease being Supreme Leader of North Korea?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
KalshiWill Kim Jong Un visit the United States during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsRègles
YES if the supreme leader of North Korea is not Kim Jong In and also is not a genetic descendant of him personally for at least a month.
- So, his uncles, cousins, etc do not count.
- Will base this on whatever the supreme leader is described as even if their system changes.
- If NK is split, the main part.
- If NK doesn't exist, it'll be based on the best continuation for the majority of the population.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Kim Jong Un or descendant isn't supreme leader in North Korea anytime through 2028 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 84% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Kim Jong Un or descendant isn't supreme leader in North Korea anytime through 2028 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Kim Jong Un or descendant isn't supreme leader in North Korea anytime through 2028 doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2029.
- Comment Kim Jong Un or descendant isn't supreme leader in North Korea anytime through 2028 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : YES if the supreme leader of North Korea is not Kim Jong In and also is not a genetic descendant of him personally for at least a month.