Manifold MarketsSans KYCPrévision communautaire actuelleGemini 3.x Pro 82%+32.0%En tête parmi 17 options
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour hier
Obsolète30 juin 26, 18:3631 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Gemini 3.x Pro82%
Marchés Associés
Which company has best AI model end of July?
495,4 k €Anthropic: 91%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
GPT-5.6 released by...?
131,6 k €July 31: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released on...?
51 k €July 7: 66%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 Sol vs Claude Fable 5, which will be broadly available first?
12,9 k €GPT-5.6 Sol: 3.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Claude Fable 5 be re-enabled for Non-Americans before July 1st, 2026?
10,5 k €Oui: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,2 k €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
Google Unveils Gemini 3.5, Android 17 AI Features in June 2026Blockchain.News
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
Anthropic Launches Claude Sonnet 5: Mid-Tier AI with Opus-Level FeaturesBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsTogether AI Raises $800M Series C for Open-Source AI PushBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market resolves YES for each AI model that receives an official public release during July 2026.
- A release counts as available to users if it is widely made available through official channels (API, web interface, download, or official partnership).
- Subvariants are model releases that share the same tier name (e.g., Flash Preview, Flash Live, Flash Instant, Flash Image all count for "Gemini 3.1 Flash"; 5.5-Thinking, 5.5-Instant, 5.5-Nano, 5.5-Pro all count for "GPT5.5").
- Releases with a distinct tier name (Flash-Lite, Flash, Pro as a separate tier, etc.) do NOT count for an adjacent tier, even within the same model family.
- When in doubt, I'll use the official model name the company uses to classify it.
- Please ask for clarifications.